Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton. Where does America go from here?

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Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton. Where does America go from here?

Mega-Tuesday brought a lot more results than most people realize. One candidate seems unstoppable now for the nomination. But on the other side, the front runner’s party is trying to stop him by hook or by crook.

How reliable are poll numbers? Did they get it right in the five states that voted and what does it mean if they did or didn’t?

Ray will bring it all done for you and then build it back up. Join him now

This is Ray Mossholder.

Donald Trump woke up Tuesday with the good news that he had won 9 delegates from the Northern Mariana Islands. He knew it was going to be a great day for him, and it was. Like the Mississippi River, he just keeps rolling along.

But as much as Tuesday was a great day for the Donald, it was an even far greater day for Hillary Clinton. That was the day that the lady literally burned Bernie’s bridges.

There is now virtually no way for Bernie Sanders to win the Democrat nomination, even with Missouri still not declaring any winners yet.

Does it matter if you vote? You’d better believe it. And the Missouri vote proves it. And it proves it with both parties.

When every vote from every precinct in Missouri was counted, Hillary Clinton defeated Bernie Sanders by 1,531 votes, and Donald Trump beat Ted Cruz by 1,726 votes.

When you think of 1500 to 1700 votes, that might sound like a lot of votes. But it results in both Clinton and Trump’s victories to 0.2% of the entire states vote.

Missouri law declares that any candidate who loses by less than one half of a percentage point to request a recount.

Neither Cruz nor Sanders has requested one yet. And at this moment that means no winner has been declared in the Show Me state.

Missouri Republican Party Chairman John Hancock said the vote in Missouri represents the great divide between those who want a “committed conservative candidate like Ted Cruz and those who want somebody outside the Republican establishment like Donald Trump.”

Hancock added “if we are to have a hope – an expectation of reclaiming the White House in November – healing is the only option on the table.”

Missouri Democratic Party Chairman Roy Temple said he does not expect that there will be a recount among Democrat votes. That’s because a second count wouldn’t change the division of delegates enough to warrant it.

A recount for the Democrats could only put in question at the most 4 delegates.

Besides, Hillary now has enough delegates, considering the states that haven’t voted yet and the Democratic geographics of each state, to easily lock up her nomination for president on the first ballot unless she is locked up first.

For now, local election clerks are deciding whether they will count provisional ballots and accept ballots from overseas voters, votes that largely represent our military.

Hillary Clinton, after all votes in Missouri were counted, is ahead there too by 1500 votes.

For Sanders to get enough delegates to win the nomination, it would require 72% of all remaining votes. As one journalist put it “Bernie has better odds of getting taller.”

Without Missouri, Mrs. Clinton has an almost 300 delegate lead over her male opponent. And those are just her pledged delegates. It doesn’t count her many Super delegates.

Now what I want to do in this segment is to repeat some of what I said in a recent Campaign 2016 report.

I’m doing it in order to show you some really important things.

First, have I just been flipping my lips or has there been substance in these Campaign 2016 reports? You need to know because your time is valuable.

Second, how reliable are political polls? I’m going to compare what the most recent polls predicted before the voting started on Mega-Tuesday with what actually happened in each state after all the votes were counted.

Here’s the beginning of that:

In spite of Marco Rubio winning a caucus in the District of Columbia and Ted Cruz winning the primary in Wyoming, if Marco’s votes are as few as expected, there will be no obvious reason for him to continue.

If John Kasich wins Ohio, he then will become the good old boys poster child.

If Donald Trump wins Ohio should and all the other states today, he may be unstoppable for the nomination on the first ballot at the Republican convention.

The Karl Rove-ites don’t like Ted Cruz and, far more evident, they despise and fear Donald Trump. Will this be the year they hold their nose and vote for Trump? Or is this going to be the year that they blow it?

The Florida primary is a winner take all and offers 99 delegates.

So, let’s see how a consensus of the Florida polls predicted, compared to what actually happened:

The polls said Donald Trump would receive 41% of the vote. In actual fact, Trump received 46% of the vote – a five-point difference in Trump’s favor.

Marco Rubio was projected by the polls to win 28% of the vote. In actual fact, Rubio received 27% of the vote – a one point difference that gave Florida Senator Rubio even less of the vote in his home state.

Ted Cruz was expected by the polls to win 19% of the vote. Senator Cruz ended up with 17% of the vote – a two point difference that gave Cruz less than he was expected to receive.

A consensus of the polls for Florida showed John Kasich receiving 10% – 1 in 10 voting for him. In actual fact Kasich received 7% of the vote, – a three point difference that made Kasich the biggest loser of the four in Florida. (Although Marco Rubio might argue about that!)

Remember the 99 delegates the Republican winner will get in Florida? Well, that’s chicken feed compared to the 214 winner–take-all delegates Hillary or Bernie will get.

And Hillary Clinton has a 99 to 1 chance of winning in Florida.

The Florida polls came very close with this one. The polls said Hillary would receive 65% of the vote, she actually received 64% of the vote, but who can quibble with that?

Bernie was supposed to get 31% of the vote. He did two percentage points better and ended up with 33% of the vote – 1 out of 3 voting for him.

A couple of days ago, I said on Campaign 2016 “Right now it appears that John Kasich is going to trump Trump in Ohio. In fact, Kasich’s odds of winning are 80 to 1 in the state where he is governor.”

John Kasich says that he will suspend his campaign unless he does win Ohio where he is governor.

Governor Kasich got, ironically, a strong endorsement from a candidate still in the race. Marco Rubio urged Ohioans with Robo calls to vote for John Kasich. That’s how far Rubio was willing to go to stop the Donald.

Here’s what you need to realize. If Donald Trump isn’t first in Ohio, no matter how well he does in all of their states that haven’t voted yet, it will be very hard for him to reach the delegate count that he has to have in order to be the nominee on the first ballot at the Republican convention.

And that’s taking into consideration his probability of Trump winning all three other states.

Here’s how it actually went in Ohio:

As the polls predicted, John Kasich won the state where he is governor. The polls said Kasich would win with 39 1/2% of the vote. In actual fact, Kasich won with 47% of the vote. The polls were quite a way off on that prediction.

Kasich won by a 7 1/2% increase over what the polls said he would.

Donald Trump was expected to receive 33% of the vote in Ohio. But he received 36% of the vote. A 3% increase, which meant he, right along with the governor, did better by quite a bit than was expected.

Ted Cruz was predicted by the polls to get 20% of the vote. But the polls were way off again. Cruz got only 13% of the vote. That’s a 7% decrease from what the polls predicted.

Marco Rubio, the polls said, would get 6% of the vote, but when the votes were counted the Florida Senator got only 3% of the vote – half as many fewer than the polls predicted.

Polls give Hillary Clinton a 95 to 1 chance of winning Ohio where 93 delegates are proportioned according to district winners and fifty delegates will be handed to the state winner.

Bernie Sanders is a man of big surprises. Ohio sits right next to Michigan where he has already won. Why wouldn’t he win Ohio too?

Also, Ohio is a crossover state, meaning that every voter can choose to vote Democrat or Republican in this primary. So there could be many Republicans who would crossover and vote for Bernie with the hope of stopping Hillary Clinton.

A recent Quinnipiac poll of Ohio showed a 43% approval rating from Democrats for John Kasich. So there could be many Democrats crossing over to vote for Kasich with the hope of stopping Donald Trump.

So, how did the polls and the actual statewide results compare for the two Democrat candidates?

Hillary, according to the polls, was to receive 55% of the vote. She did better than that, gaining 2% more with 57% of the vote.

Bernie did a tad bit better too, even though he lost to her – polls predicted he’d get 42% of the vote, he got 43%.

Before any voting, I said “Illinois offers 69 delegates. The odds of Donald Trump winning Illinois are 63 to 1.

Follow me closely as I describe the uniqueness of today’s vote in Illinois.

So, how did that work out?

Trump was predicted to receive 33% of the vote in Illinois. Once again, the Donald outdid himself with 39% of the vote – a six percentage point increase.

Ted Cruz, the polls said, would receive 28 1/2%. But when the votes were counted in Illinois, he did a little better too with 30% of the vote.

John Kasich was predicted to be third in Illinois and he was. The polls had him at 20% and he actually got 20% of the vote. Right on.

But Marco Rubio didn’t come close to what the polls said. They had him at 17%. The polls missed it by 8%, as Marco ended up with 9%.

Before the vote, I said “Illinois doesn’t look much better for Bernie. With 156 delegates that are distributed by districts, Hillary has a 90 to 1 chance to win

The latest poll shows Hillary winning 52% of the vote to Bernie’s 44%. However, Bernie might surprise everybody with Illinois.

Last week a highly respected YouGov poll showed Bernie Sanders winning Illinois by 2%. That’s squeaky close and a long way from 52 to 44.

I’d rather climb a pole than trust one.”

Hillary received a little less in the polls said she would. Instead of 52%, she got 50% of the vote.

Bernie, according to YouGov, might beat Hillary in Illinois.

But in spite of doing 5% better than the other polls predicted, Bernie was one point behind her.

He ended up with 49% of the vote.

Now we go to North Carolina that offers the Republican winner a portion of 72 delegates, depending on how each district in the state votes.

Donald Trump’s odds for winning North Carolina are 89 to 1. But that’s the thing about polls. Ted Cruz could still win in North Carolina.

Nothing is certain, but death and taxes!

How big a piece will be determined by the actual final count.

So, how did the polls do in predicting the outcome in North Carolina?

They said Trump would win with 43% of the vote. Trump did win, but only by 40% of the vote – 3% less than anticipated.

Ted Cruz, the polls said, would win second place with 33% of the vote. But Cruz did much better than that with 37% of the vote – 4% more than anticipated.

Once more we come to a candidate whose poll numbers and the vote count agreed. The polls said John Kasich would be third in North Carolina with 13% of the vote. He was.

Marco Rubio, the polls said, would be last with 9 1/2% of the vote. But he did even worse. He was last and he ended up in North Carolina with only 8% of the vote – a 1 1/2% decrease.

The polls said for the Democrats in North Carolina, a state with a large black vote, Hillary has a 99% chance of beating Bernie.

North Carolina is a state where 70 delegates are districted out and thirty-seven delegates are given directly to the winner.

The latest polls show Hillary getting 61% of the vote and Bernie Sanders 38%.

Hillary did win but received 6% less than the polls predicted – 55% of the vote.

Bernie did four percentage points better than the polls predicted. He got 41% of the vote and still lost.

And about the state that is still too close to call, even though every vote in the state has been counted – Missouri.

I said before the voting that Missouri has had very little polling done there. And here’s where Ted Cruz could shine.

52 delegates are up for grabs. Most of them are awarded by congressional district.

Cruz has won in Iowa to Missouri’s north and Kansas to Missouri’s west. He also came in a close second in Arkansas, which is to Missouri’s south.

There is a good chance of a delegate split in Missouri. Then Trump might surprise.

Donald Trump is first place after the first statewide vote count in a “too close to call.”

Polls predicted a .1% difference between Trump and Cruz. It’s actually .2% following the first count. Yet both men have 41% each.

That’s .2% above the polls predictions for Donald Trump and .3% better than the polls said Ted Cruz would do.

Trump is at this moment 1,726 votes ahead of Cruz, and odds are strong that there will be a recount of all ballots cast.

The very same “To close to call” declaration has been made for Hillary and Bernie.

The polls predicted the Democrat race was “To close to call”. It is. Hillary has 50% of the vote and Sanders 49%.

That’s a statewide difference of just 1,531 votes.

What have we learned about political polls and whether they can be trusted?

Although the polls can be off by several percentage points, they are usually good indicators of how people will do in a political race.

I used to have a high school teacher who said “Figures never lie unless liars figure”.

Polls can be tampered with, made wrong on purpose, and be totally unreliable.

And no matter how large the demographic the survey company reaches for any survey, the vast majority aren’t participating who will matter at the time of the election.

Then, too, people can change their minds at the last minute – even change them of the voting booth.

That’s why you should never feel led to vote because of what polls say.

But here’s the interesting thing. In every case, including Missouri, the polls did pinpoint how each candidate would place in any particular state.

First, second, third and fourth were called correctly by the polls .

It’s also impressive that the polls were right about Rubio losing in Florida and Kasich winning in Ohio.

So, although you can’t totally depend on the percentage points, political polls do usually become reasonable indicators of final results.

Now comes the most important part. How many delegates did each candidate gain following Mega Tuesday? Well, the jury is still out in Missouri.

But Florida gave all 99 delegates to Donald Trump.

John Kasich got all 66 delegates in Ohio.

Illinois gave 52 delegates to Donald Trump, 9 delegates to Ted Cruz, and 8 delegates to John Kasich. Marco Rubio didn’t qualify with enough votes to receive any delegates there.

Finally, in North Carolina, Donald Trump received 29 delegates; Ted Cruz received 27 delegates; John Kasich received 9 delegates; and Marco Rubio got six.

So here are the totals of delegates gained – Donald Trump 189; John Kasich 83; Ted Cruz 36; and the now suspended Marco Rubio 6

Now, let me tell you something not to make you angry, but to motivate you to action.

I’ve talked often about the Karl Rove-ites, the Republican elite who are oober–rich, who are not only in complete control of the Republican Party, but hand-in-hand with the Democrat leadership who are as oober-rich as they are, they control of Congress and the American government.

They don’t want you to decide who the president should be in spite of all the campaigning. That’s what both parties have a delegate system that after the first vote at each convention can be brokered into whatever the good old boys want. Donald Trump wants to break all of that up and give America back to the people.

Whether he can do that will be decided by the states that have not yet voted, and the people in them who want to return America to a democracy.

You are about to see dirty tricks, outright lies, phony scandals, and vicious attacks becoming a daily routine to get Donald Trump from having enough delegates to win on the first ballot at the convention.

That will turn it into a brokered convention and whether it’s Mitt Romney, Paul Ryan, John Kasich, or someone else, Donald Trump will be denied the nomination.

I am not endorsing Donald Trump. But I am for honest government and a change in the way it does business.

We as Americans are teetering on the edge of oblivion if we allow the corruption to continue any further.

America, please wake up before it’s too late. Please.

And finally… Lots of women enjoy carrying an alligator bag. But there is a lady in Lakeland, Florida, that has carried this several steps further.

She has a 6 foot long pet alligator in her home.

This isn’t something new. She has kept Rambo (that’s the alligator’s name) in her home for eleven years. And she swears it has never eaten anyone.

Conservationists and wildlife officials are now saying that to keep an alligator like Rambo, or any other alligator, requires 2.5 acres of land.

Mary Thorn, the alligator’s housekeeper, says that no amount of land would do Rambo any good. It seems her alligator is extremely sensitive to sunlight.

Thorn takes Rambo to schools and charity events to teach people about alligators. She says she has trained him not to bite.

I’ve been trying to figure out how a person teaches an alligator not to bite.

Florida wildlife commission spokesman, Gary Morse, says Thorn’s case is under investigation. He is taking into consideration she has had the alligator with her for eleven years.

However, it has not yet been determined whether she can keep Rambo or have to tell her precous pet “See you later, alligator!”

This is Ray Mossholder from the Reach More Now Campaign 2016 news desk in Fort Worth, Texas. And the race goes on.

Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton. Where does America go from here?

Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton. Where does America go from here?

Election Results and Ray"s Commentary on the Vote on Mega-Tuesday

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Election Results and Ray’s Commentary on the Vote on Mega-Tuesday

Ray will be going live throughout this mega-Tuesday evening until all of the voting results are in. Continue to watch for updates that may happen at any time.

Join him now.


Election Results and Ray’s Commentary on the Vote on Mega-Tuesday

 

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Election Results and Ray"s Commentary on the Vote on Mega-Tuesday

Can Donald Trump Win The Five States Voting Today?

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Can Donald Trump Win The Five States Voting Today?
Donald Trump needs to win all five states today plus the Northern Mariana Islands. If he doesn’t, it will be very hard for him to secure enough delegates to win the presidential nomination at the Republican convention this July in Cleveland. How will Senator Ted Cruz do today? Or Senator Marco Rubio? Or Governor John Kasich? This is one of the most crucial days for all four of these men in this whole campaign. Join Ray for the important details.

This is Ray Mossholder.

One of my favorite stories is about the man in the old West who had 78 arrows in him. When a friend asked him how he was feeling, he said “It only hurts when I laugh!”

Donald Trump must feel that way today. Not that he has 78 arrows in him, but he has so many enemies who want to stop his campaign. They are like those arrows.

The First Amendment has become a forgotten issue among the politically correct. MoveOn.Org, Black Life Matters, illegal immigration activists, the rich Karl Rove-ites who lead the Republican Party, the mass media, even “fair and balanced” Fox News, are willing to do or say anything in order to stop the political candidacy of the Donald.

It has come so far that the Fayetteville, North Carolina, police are now threatening to charge Donald Trump with inciting a riot.

Activists yell and scream in order to try to drown out whatever Trump is saying. Some of the activists get physical. Is he supposed to just talk over them?

The incident in Fayetteville took place when an African-American that was being led out of the Fayetteville rally while the audience was booing him. The men escorting him wore uniforms marked “Sheriff’s Office.” All the time he was being removed from the rally he was extending his middle finger.

While that was happening, and before the activist, Rakeem Jones, had left, 78-year-old John McGraw sucker–punched him.

McGraw was arrested and charged with assault and disorderly conduct.

Rakeem said he, a white woman, a Muslim, and a gay man had gone to the rally as a “social experiment.” He said the woman started shouting as soon as Donald Trump began to speak. “She shouted, but at the same time, they were shouting too. Everyone was shouting.… No one in our group attempted to get physical…. The police jumped on me like I was the one swinging. My eyes still hurt. It’s just shocking. The shock of it all is starting to set in. It’s like this dude really hit me and they let him get away with it. I was basically in police custody and got hit.”

In fairness, Donald Trump has not always been quick to criticize violence that takes place at his rallies. Last year after a fight broke out between activists and police in Birmingham, Alabama, Trump said about one of them “Maybe he should have been roughed up.”

Last month during the week of the caucus in Nevada, Trump said of a protester “I’d like to punch him in the face.”

In Kentucky at a Trump rally, another protester was ushered out. Trump said to his crowd “Get him out. Try not to hurt him. If you do, I’ll defend you in court.”….Aren’t Trump rallies the most fun? We’re having a good time.”

Chicago activist Quo Vadis says “Trump represents everything America is not and everything Chicago is not. We came in here and we wanted to shut this down. Because this is a great city and we don’t want to let that person in here.”

Chicago is a city of often daily drive-by shootings and mob violence. So what does he mean when he says Donald Trump represents everything Chicago is not?

MoveOn.Org is raising funds for more riots to stop Donald Trump wherever he is holding a rally, for as long as it takes they say until Donald Trump quits in frustration.

Saturday it read “Last night, without consulting the local police, Donald Trump abruptly canceled a rally in Chicago in the face of massive and overwhelmingly peaceful student-led protests.

“We are being flooded with aggressive emails and social media posts from Trump supporters. Some of them are threatening. We refuse to be intimidated by Donald Trump, Fox News, or anyone else.”

The facts are: Donald Trump did talk with the police and the police agreed with him that in order to keep everyone from being hurt, the rally should be canceled.

Imagine the money that was lost by Trump after renting a huge auditorium at the University of Illinois, let alone the disappointment to his more than twenty thousand supporters.

He would have never canceled the Chicago rally if the protesters had been peaceful, and quiet enough so that the huge crowd could hear him while he spoke.

The large amount of the protesters were and are organized professionals. There were far less students than organized thugs.

“Peaceful” protesters don’t bloody policeman’s heads!

All of this brings up the question that goes much further than Donald Trump. What is America to do with the riots that do everything from destroying stores, killing people, and ruining lives, to shutting down scheduled events that people want to attend?

Do we simply allow thugs to have their way and then declare that it wasn’t their fault but the fault of the one who scheduled the event?

Do we allow them to stop political rallies that they disagree with by drowning out the speaker? How is the speaker to respond to that?

The lines of free speech have become blurry. Does the free speech belong to the speaker who has paid to rent the place where his speech will be held and that has been advertised to invite a crowd? Or does it belong to anyone who wants to create havoc and shut down the speaker?

In hindsight, universities are very poor places to hold, especially conservative, political rallies. Universities are hotbeds for encouraging disruption of anyone with whom students disagree.

Political correctness now means “I am correct, and no one else had better disagree with my bias.”

Donald Trump is one voice saying, however non-elegantly, “This has to stop. And if it doesn’t stop, America is going to be a nation of anarchy.”

Now a conservative grassroots organization is sending out notice inviting everyone in the nation to join them at the Army–Navy–Club in Washington DC this Thursday.

The inviters are blogger and Atlanta radio talkshow host Erik Erickson; Bill Wichterman, a senior legislative advisor for the lobbying firm Covington and Burling in Washington, DC, and the president of a furniture store in Rapid City, South Dakota, Robert K. Fischer.

The invitation reads “If you can never support Donald Trump, then please join us. Please join other conservative leaders to strategize how to defeat Donald Trump for the Republican nomination, and if he is the Republican nominee for president, to offer a true conservative candidate in the general election.”

In other words, this group plans to create a third-party.

Erickson is a contributor to the National Review and recently wrote a blog titled “I Will Not Vote For Donald Trump. Ever.”

Fischer was a strong supporter of Senator Rick Santorum.

Erickson hosts a highly conservative radio talkshow.

So if you are oober–conservative and anti-Trump, you’re just the kind of person they are looking for.

The question many anti-Trump voters are asking is “Why would anyone vote for him?”

One of those answering that question is Dan Golvach of Texas.

Golvach’s twenty-five-year-old son, Spencer, was shot in the head by an illegal alien who simply pulled up next to him while his car was stopped for a red light.

Golvach said “It’s ruined my life. Trust me. Everything is damaged. Nothing has the same meaning anymore. There is no real joy in life. You just go through the motions because you’re not suicidal, and you just do things.…And thank you, United States government. I thought their first mandate was to protect us, but they’re just protecting their donors – and it’s treason.

“Senator Marco Rubio’s history of pushing to open America’s borders is nothing short of treason. Rubio and pro-amnesty politicians should be brought up on charges for what they’ve done…and they should be punished for it.

“The Senator from my home state, Ted Cruz, doesn’t seem really all that interested in protecting us from illegal aliens.

“Governor John Kasich is the most traitorous of the bunch. What he’s proposing will end America. He wants to enact amnesty within his first 100 days in office.

“Kasich is the posterboard puppet for his donors. He couldn’t care less about what negative affect amnesty would have on American workers, what negative effect it would have on American families. There would be no America – he would finish us off. It’s just treason… I can’t stand him.

“And I guarantee you, find other families of dead kids – a father of a dead kid like me – and they’ll agree.

“People like me and Laura Wilkerson (a mother whose eighteen-year-old son was tortured to death by an illegal alien) – we spend all of our holidays at the cemetery.

“I watch my son’s mother….(his voice trails off) I watch her – he was our only child. There’s not going to be any more Christmases , no grandchildren, no wedding, no nothing.

“This was what my country decided was best for me. And I used to tell my boy ‘Hey man, you can make it in this country. We’re a great country, and we have a Constitution. We’re a country of laws. We’ve got a lot of flexibility.’ What do I say to him now?

“And you think I don’t have a right to be mad at people like Marco Rubio? Bush? Obama? Clinton? I can’t stand them. I can’t stand what they’ve done. And I don’t think I’m the only one.

“Donald Trump is not shackled to the oligarchs, the plutocrats and the donors – even though he used to be one. Donald Trump has done more for this cause by speaking out the way he has than anybody.

“Donald Trump is pretty boisterous. I can only tell you that once he started weighing in on this, it gave us – the victims of illegal immigrant crime – hope that we would have never had – there’s no question about that.

“My support for Trump is not because I believe he is any kind of political panacea that can fix all of our problems. What I do know is that at least he’s not shackled to the Koch brothers or Sheldon Adelson, or people that have been forthcoming in their opinions about open borders.

“Cruz and Rubio have to tell the public that they’re against illegal immigration to get elected. But once they get elected – they’re not about to do anything about illegal immigration because they’d be cut off by their donors and they wouldn’t be able to keep the power.

And that is the situation that they are in right now.

“I think were living in a post-constitutional republic. We’re a plutocracy. I feel that it’s become a joke. And it cost my son his life.

“Unless we have a President who will enforce the laws on the books, innocent Americans will continue to be victimized.

“Those laws were designed to protect us, so if you’re going to cherry pick those laws than expect someone you love will be sitting at a red light and get their brains blown out. Or someone you love will get beaten and set on fire like eighteen-year-old Josh Wilkerson was.

“I talk to the media because it’s the only thing I can think to do to share this. I’m shouting from the rooftops and maybe someone will listen.

“The real question you have to ask yourself is: do you think for a minute that Marco Rubio’s backers and donors will want to compromise their cheap illegal labor force? That answer is no.… If you want to know the truth about a politician, you need to look at his donors.”

Mitt Romney campaigned alongside John Kasich today in Canton and Columbus, Ohio.

Meanwhile, Marco Rubio has been sending out Robo calls telling people to vote for John Kasich in Ohio instead of voting for him.

Rubio, Romney, Kasich, Clinton and Sanders are all calling Donald Trump “a fraud” who will badly hurt America.

Wherever John Kasich speaks he promises to give the illegal immigrants a pathway to citizenship within his first 100 days in office.

He has also added to that statement “If I get to be president, I’m going to play a lot of golf”

Meanwhile, Ted Cruz may be in trouble with the Ohio voters.

The Cleveland Plain Dealer wrote a scathing report this weekend about Ted and his wife, Heidi, and their history of support for free trade deals.

The newspaper reported that Ohio has lost 112,500 jobs last year because of the US trade deficit with countries in the Trans–Pacific Partnership agreement.

The Cruz campaign yesterday told WND that Senator Cruz in Congress supported Congress giving President Obama “Trade Promotion Authority,” TPA, generally known as “Fast Track.”

Today five states vote – Florida, Ohio, Illinois, Missouri, and North Carolina. They are Industrial states, hurting for jobs but rich with delegates.

Let’s look first at the Republicans and then we will look at the Democrats.

The Florida primary is a winner take all and offers 99 delegates.

The latest Five thirty-eight poll shows Donald Trump winning with 41% of the vote; Marco Rubio taking second with almost 28% of the vote; Ted Cruz third with 19% of the vote; and John Kasich fourth with 10% of the vote

The odds are 96 to 1 that Donald Trump is going to win the Sunshine State. Trump has won every single poll in Florida that has been taken this year.

But keep this in mind. Polls are often inaccurate when taken in Florida.

North Carolina offers the Republican winner a portion of 72 delegates, depending on how each district in the state votes.

Donald Trump’s odds for winning North Carolina are 89 to 1. But that’s the thing about polls. Ted Cruz could still win in North Carolina.

Nothing is certain, but death and taxes!

The latest poll on 538 shows Trump at 43%; Cruz at 33%; Kasich at 13%; and Rubio at 9 1/2%. Each one of them will get a slice of the voting pie. How big a piece will be determined by the actual final count.

Illinois offers a winner–take–all 69 delegates. The odds of Donald Trump winning Illinois are 63 to 1.

The latest 538 poll shows Trump winning 33% of the vote; Ted Cruz 28 1/2%; John Kasich 20%; and Marco Rubio 17%.

Follow me closely as I describe the uniqueness of today’s vote in Illinois.

Not only are the Three Musketeers – Cruz, Rubio and Kasich – all trying to get the anti-Trump vote, but the way they count results in that state are by districts, and how each different district casts their votes. The voters in each district are choosing delegates, as well as voting for a presidential candidate.

A voter receives a ballot that includes the names of all four candidates and the names of the delegates who want to go to the Republican National Convention. So, Illinois voters end up voting four times.

Oh, and the winning candidate in the most districts gets fifteen extra delegates.

Right now it appears that John Kasich is going to trump Trump in Ohio. In fact, Kasich’s odds of winning are 80 to 1 in the state where he is governor.

The latest 538 poll shows John Kasich with 39 1/2% of the vote; Donald Trump 33%; Ted Cruz 20%; and Marco Rubio 6%.

John Kasich says that he will suspend his campaign unless he does win Ohio where he is governor.

Governor Kasich got, ironically, a strong endorsement from a candidate still in the race. Marco Rubio urged Ohioans with Robo calls to vote for John Kasich. That’s how far Rubio is willing to go to stop the Donald.

Here’s what you need to realize. If Donald Trump isn’t first in Ohio, no matter how well he does in all of the states that haven’t voted yet, it will be extremely hard for him to reach the delegate count that he has to have in order to be the nominee on the first ballot at the Republican convention.

And that’s taking into consideration his probability of Trump winning all four other states.

Missouri has had very little polling. And here’s where Ted Cruz could shine. 52 delegates are up for grabs. Most of them are awarded by congressional district.

Cruz has won in Iowa to Missouri’s north and Kansas to Missouri’s west. He also came in a close second in Arkansas, which is to Missouri’s south.

There are fifty-two delegates up for grabs, but not all of them will most likely go to the same candidate.

There is a good chance of a delegate split in Missouri. Then Trump might surprise.

There will be one caucus going on today. When was the last time you thought about the Northern Mariana Islands? Could you go to a world map and point them out quickly?

Whether you could or couldn’t, the Northern Mariana Islands caucus will give the winning Republican 9 delegates, and especially Donald Trump or Ted Cruz would love them. The caucus will end in winner take all.

Trump is actually expected to win that caucus because of his endorsement by Doctor Ben Carson.

The executive director of this commonwealth’s Republican Party switched from Carson when he suspended his campaign and joined the Trump team.

Trump also has the support of the Northern Mariana Governor Ralph Torres.

In spite of Marco Rubio winning a caucus in the District of Columbia and Ted Cruz winning the primary in Wyoming, if Marco’s votes are as few as expected, there will be no obvious reason for him to continue.

If John Kasich wins Ohio, he then will become the good old boys poster child.

If Donald Trump wins Ohio, and all the other states today, he may be unstoppable for the nomination on the first ballot at the Republican convention.

The Karl Rove-ites don’t like Ted Cruz, and far more evident, they despise and fear Donald Trump. Will this be the year they hold their nose and vote for Trump or is this going to be the year that they blow it?

On the Democrat side, Bernie Sanders continues to amaze. Watch carefully how he and Hillary end up in Ohio.

The question is: Was Bernie’s victory in Michigan a fluke? More about that in a minute.

Remember the 99 delegates the Republican winner will get in Florida? Well, that’s chicken feed compared to the 214 winner–take-all delegates Hillary or Bernie will get.

And Hillary Clinton has a 99 to 1 chance of winning in Florida.

Florida polls show Hillary getting 65% of the vote to Bernie’s 31%.

Illinois doesn’t look much better for Bernie. With 156 delegates that are distributed by districts, Hillary has a 90 to 1 chance to win

The latest poll shows Hillary winning 52% of the vote to Bernie’s 44%. However, Bernie might surprise everybody with Illinois.

Last week a highly respected YouGov poll showed Bernie Sanders winning Illinois by 2%. That’s squeaky close and a long way from 52 to 44.

I’d rather climb a pole than trust one.

Polls give Hillary Clinton a 95 to 1 chance of winning Ohio where 93 delegates are proportioned according to district winners and fifty delegates will be handed to the state winner.

The polls say Hillary will get 55% of the vote to Bernie’s 42%.

Bernie Sanders is that man of big surprises. Ohio sits right next to Michigan where he has already won. Why wouldn’t he win Ohio too?

Also, Ohio is a crossover state, meaning that every voter can choose to vote Democrat or Republican in this primary. So there could be many Republicans who would crossover and vote for Bernie with the hope of stopping Hillary Clinton.

A recent Quinnipiac poll of Ohio showed a 43% approval rating from Democrats for John Kasich. So there could be many Democrats crossing over to vote for Kasich with the hope of stopping Donald Trump.

In North Carolina, a state with a large black vote, Hillary has a 99% chance of beating Bernie.

North Carolina is a state where 70 delegates are districted out and thirty-seven delegates are given directly to the winner.

The latest polls show Hillary getting 61% of the vote and Bernie Sanders 38%.

Hillary Clinton has already won the Northern Mariana Islands caucus this past Saturday.

So, this may be the day that Hillary has been waiting for, winning all four states, or not.

And finally, on a whole different subject, how is this for real women’s liberation?

An Egyptian court has sentenced Taymour el-Sobky to three years in prison with hard labor. Why? On television Taymour dared to say many married women in Egypt aren’t faithful to their husbands.

The Egyptian court ruled that el-Sobky had damaged the honor of married Egyptian women with that statement.

el-Sobky’s Facebook page was called “Diaries of a Suffering Husband”. It was what he wrote there that got him a television interview.

These were his words on Facebook: “30% of Egyptian women are ready for immorality. They just can’t find someone to encourage them.

“These days it is very normal for women to cheat on their husbands….Many women are involved in extramarital affairs while their husbands are abroad.”

He said the Egyptian tradition of arranged marriages greatly adds to the problem of infidelity because women end up with men they don’t know.

Taymour said he felt sorry for these women and wished that he could help them.

It is certain that three years locked away in prison make it much harder for him to do that!

This is Ray Mossholder from the Reach More Now Campaign 2016 news desk. I’ll be back tomorrow night with the results of the third Super Tuesday in a row.

Can Donald Trump Win The Five States Voting Today?

Can Donald Trump Win The Five States Voting Today?